RBA September 2026 Meeting
Model-estimated probabilities for the RBA rate decision on 29 September 2026, anchored to ASX interbank futures settlement prices.
Latest decision
Meeting summary
Summary of the most recent RBA decision on —.
What markets expected
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What happened
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Meeting date
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Next meeting probabilities · 30 days
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Cut
Hold
Hike
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About this meeting
The RBA Board is scheduled to meet on 29 September 2026 to decide the official cash rate. ASX interbank futures anchor the expected rate shown above; the cut, hold and hike split is a model estimate updated daily.
Probabilities are calculated by fitting a calendar-day weighted expected OCR path to futures month averages, then applying historical prior and dispersion assumptions. Non-business days carry forward the prior business day's rate, and moves are capped at 50 basis points per meeting. This is not a forecast or recommendation.