RBA September 2026 Meeting
Market-implied probabilities for the RBA rate decision on 29 September 2026, derived from ASX interbank futures settlement prices.
Meeting date
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Next meeting probabilities · 30 days
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Cut
Hold
Hike
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About this meeting
The RBA Board is scheduled to meet on 29 September 2026 to decide the official cash rate. The probabilities shown above reflect where ASX interbank futures markets price the likely outcome of this meeting, updated daily.
Probabilities are calculated by fitting a calendar-day weighted expected OCR path to futures month averages, carrying forward the prior business day's rate on non-business days. Moves are capped at 50 basis points per meeting. This reflects market pricing, not a forecast or recommendation.