RBA June 2027 Meeting

Model-estimated probabilities for the RBA rate decision on 22 June 2027, anchored to ASX interbank futures settlement prices.

Next meeting probabilities · 30 days
Cut Hold Hike

About this meeting

The RBA Board is scheduled to meet on 22 June 2027 to decide the official cash rate. ASX interbank futures anchor the expected rate shown above; the cut, hold and hike split is a model estimate updated daily.

Probabilities are calculated by fitting a calendar-day weighted expected OCR path to futures month averages, then applying historical prior and dispersion assumptions. Non-business days carry forward the prior business day's rate, and moves are capped at 50 basis points per meeting. This is not a forecast or recommendation.

View full rate path outlook